| "There´s an assumption in political circles that regardless of whether Republicans nominate Donald Trump or Ted Cruz to run against Hillary Clinton, the party is destined to lose the presidential race this fall. That may well be true. But that sentiment is premised on the idea that Trump and Cruz have roughly the same chance -- not much -- of beating Clinton. That´s wrong, at least according to all of the available polling data. Thanks to the polling gurus at Real Clear Politics, we can compare how Trump and Cruz fare in head to head match-ups.". . . |
Comments: Let me interrupt the predictable rant. Washington Post, oooo bad. Cillizza is reporting on a compendium of polls, not a single poll. Ooo, it´s just a poll. Duh, that´s what we use to forecast and as stated this is many polls. Trump has never even led Hillary at all, Cruz has. Trump can turn it around when he ´attacks.´ OR, it can get much worse when the media and Hillary attack. The real best, conservative and popular candidate might have actually been Rick Perry, for name recognition, experience and policy successes in Texas. But he flopped as a campaigner twice.  |
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