Saturday, January 29, 2011

Turmoil in Egypt

STRATFOR reportsDispatch: Egyptian Unrest Continues "Middle East analyst Kamran Bokhari discusses the Mubarak government’s potential vulnerability as a result of the street protests, which may exacerbate the country’s leadership succession troubles." Via stratfor.com

Sources in Egypt and West: US secretly backed protest "It would also explain the steadfast insistence of President Barack Obama and all his spokesmen on forcing Mubarak to do the virtually impossible, i.e. to refrain from force against the opposition movement and introduce immediate reforms by means of national dialogue. His successors would be waiting in the wings to move in when they could expect to be embraced by the opposition."

Israelis fear unwinding of political stability  "But the lack of Israeli enthusiasm for democratic change in the Arab world also reflects a specific experience: the 2006 elections in the Palestinian territories, which ended in a triumph for the Islamist Hamas movement at the expense of the pro-western Fatah party."
Via The Financial Times   Related: BUSH DEMOCRACY POLICIES HELPED BRING ISLAMIST DICTATORSHIPS TO GAZA AND LEBANON.

Egypt's riots make Israel uneasy  "Israel doesn’t have the luxury of the United States, trying to measure its reaction to unfolding events by balancing support for human rights and democracy against loyalty to an old and important ally. For Israel peace with a stable and reliable Egypt is a vital necessity, and Hosni Mubarak has withstood the test of time. But unlike the United States, Israel is not called upon to make a stand vis-a-vis Murbarak versus the demonstrators. Israel knows that its silence is what the situation requires, that to voice support for one side or the other would be counterproductive." 

Egypt, what's at stake? Just a short bullet list...

Walid Phares On President Hosni Mubarak Video.

Carter Redux? "Like Carter, Obama has made overtures to the Islamists. 1n 1978 Jimmy Carter was on the side of "human rights" and eagerly embraced Ayatollah Khomeini. Carter's UN Ambassador Andrew Young went so far as to call him "some kind of saint"."
Liberals cannot be trusted to handle international crises.

Foreign policy establishment of two minds on Egypt "The world is about to change and the administration is unable to decide what to do to help shape the future to the benefit of US interests. Is it the nature of the crisis that this is so? Or is it that Obama and his State Department are like a deer in the headlights when it comes to proposing options?"

Nobel Peace Winner Returns to Egypt to Lead Anti-Government Protest Movement  "Nobel Peace laureate Mohamed ElBaradei, Egypt's top democracy advocate and a key challenger to President Hosni Mubarak, returned to the country Thursday night after declaring he was ready to lead the grass-roots protest movement to a regime change."

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