The World Must Stop Ignoring What Iranians Already Know: The Regime Is on the Brink

No, this is not about Gavin Newsom and California. Any similarities are purely coincidental. The Tunnel Dweller

  RedState  

"This reality also exposes the hollowness of claims by Reza Pahlavi—the so-called “baby shah”—that he represents the Iranian people’s future. The Iranian public has firmly rejected both the monarchy and the theocracy."

He rules by power; but how does Newsom keep his job?

"Ernest Hemingway famously wrote when describing bankruptcy: It happens “gradually, then suddenly.” The same is true of dictatorships. They project an illusion of permanence—until the moment the façade shatters and decades of repression give way to rapid collapse. Nowhere is this dynamic more evident than in the Islamic Republic of Iran, a theocracy that has ruled for 46 years through corruption, brutality, and systemic mismanagement.

"In recent weeks, a severe water crisis has pushed Iran into international headlines. President Masoud Pezeshkian himself warned that it is very feasible that water rationing in Tehran may follow. Several of Tehran’s life-sustaining reservoirs are already below ten percent capacity.

"The regime claims this crisis is the result of uncontrollable natural forces. But experts overwhelmingly point to man-made causes: decades of mismanagement, dam-building and diversion projects controlled by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the regime’s chronic plundering of resources. Drought may be real, but the catastrophic scale of the disaster is the regime’s own creation.

"And the water crisis is only one among many. Fuel and electricity shortages have sparked protests. The economy is collapsing. Unemployment is soaring. Public services are failing. The environment is deteriorating at an alarming pace. A wildfire razed portions of the ancient Hyrcanian Forests, a UNESCO World Heritage site home to many endangered species, in November. Meanwhile, half the adult population lacks meaningful work, yet the regime pours billions into the IRGC, missile programs, regional militias, and vast surveillance networks designed to suppress domestic dissent." . . . 

"As international media continue to cover Iran’s water, economic, and political crises, they must also grapple with an unavoidable conclusion: if these trends continue, regime change in Iran is not only possible, but inevitable. Dictatorships fall the way Hemingway described—gradually, then suddenly. Iran is already deep into the “gradually” phase. The “suddenly” may come sooner than many expect."

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READ MORE: The End Is Near. Tehran Faces Evacuation As Water Supplies Reach Zero and the City Sinks Into the Desert.