"Israel is well on its way to defeating Hamas in the field and removing direct Iranian influence in Gaza, one prerequisite for long-term peace. But that alone is not enough. ". . .
"Israel winning its war against Iran’s proxies in the Gaza Strip is an opportunity to implement reforms necessary for reconciliation and long-term peace. Israel, the United States and other western powers lack legitimacy in the Muslim world, and their taking the lead would undermine the project from the outset. Israel will not empower the UN, UNRWA, or like international institutions that have so amply demonstrated their hostility. There are few good options, but Saudi Arabia is influential and motivated to deprive Iran of its Mediterranean colony. It also has a growing desire to be part of the modern world order, and is at least amenable to peace with Israel. Perhaps most important, the Arab states are more suited to the sort of generational planning necessary to deradicalize an entire society.
"Rebooting an Oslo-style peace process is doomed to fail. The Iranian, rejectionist faction (Hamas, Islamic Jihad, etc.) has only strengthened in the post-Oslo era, and the Palestinian Authority no longer even pays lip service to the idea of coexistence with Israel. Hamas intends to destroy Israel and kill every Jew, and it enjoys overwhelming support both in Gaza and the West Bank. Every peace offer has been met with violence, and the attempt to unilaterally disengage culminated in the worst anti-Jewish attack since the Holocaust.
"Israel is laying the groundwork for the generational changes needed for peace by defeating Hamas. Hamas had three goals for the 10/7 attack: breach the Israeli border and kill as many Jews as possible; lure the Israel Defense Forces into a bloody quagmire in Gaza and expose the Israeli north to an invasion by Hezb’allah; and scuttle the then-imminent normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia. While Hamas achieved an initial tactical victory, it squandered whatever military advantage it had by perpetrating atrocities against civilians, and once word of the invasion spread, Hamas’ forces were forestalled by ad hoc Israeli forces even before the IDF routed the invaders. Despite achieving surprise, Hamas’ casualties from the 10/7 attack approached in number the total Israeli casualties. Hamas may have terrorized the population, but showed itself essentially irrelevant as a military force." . . .
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