Follow the pols, not the polls

 Don Surber  "Democrats are a broken party.

"In April, I looked 7 months into the future and saw Republicans gaining 36 seats in the House, which would give them their greatest majority in 94 years. I figured they would hold all their Senate seats and flip Arizona and Georgia.

"But seasons change and new issues arise. Democrats thought the reversal of Roe v. Wade and passage of the Green New Deal (cynically labeled the Inflation Reduction Act) would save them. They chatted among themselves and convinced one another that Biden would defy gravity and gain seats and keep both the House and the Senate.

"Even now, Nate Silver includes in his forecast a scenario where Democrats add 9 House seats and 5 Senate seats.". . .

"The only thing that's changed is Democrats dug in on abortion and climate change while the public worried about inflation and crime with immigration hanging over them like a black cloud over all of it. 

"I am tempted to make that prediction 100 seats in the House and 10 in the Senate.

"Realistically, the ceiling on Republican gains is about half that (48 House seats and 6 in the Senate). But then again, two weeks ago Kathy Hochul looked like a lock for to remain governor of New York.

"Philip Marey of Rabobank's market research department predicts Republicans will gain 75 House seats and 11 Senate seats giving it majorities of 288-147 and 61-39.

"I ain't arguing against that because Democrats imploded by acting like overlords instead of public servants.". . .

Crooked Election Denier Hillary Lashes Out At Americans Who Don’t ‘Understand’ Election (Video)

EXCLUSIVE: 'Joe was centered on the returns in the family coffers.' Whistleblower . . . the president talking like he was chairman of the board

UK Daily Mail   Joe Biden was involved in his son Hunter's foreign business deals while he was Vice President, a new whistleblower with direct knowledge claims.

The whistleblower has identified themselves to Senate investigators but asked to remain anonymous for fear of reprisals.

The informant says they were party to a 2012 conference call involving then-VP Joe, Hunter, 52, his business partner Jeff Cooper, 53, late Senate majority leader Harry Reid and his son Key Reid, 48, who was also in business with Hunter.

The Spring 2012 call was about Hunter, Key and Jeff's new venture into online gambling in Latin America, the whistleblower said, adding that Joe was active on the call discussing details of the business, and appeared to be involved as a 'silent partner'.

'He wasn't passive, he was talking about it. If I had to describe him, he was like a member of the Board of Directors,' the source said.  

In a statement to DailyMail.com, Cooper denied ever having a call about any of his companies with the president or late senator saying it was a 'complete fabrication'.

Key, Hunter and the White House did not respond to requests for comment.a new whistleblower with direct knowledge claims.

The whistleblower has identified themselves to Senate investigators but asked to remain anonymous for fear of reprisals.

The informant says they were party to a 2012 conference call involving then-VP Joe, Hunter, 52, his business partner Jeff Cooper, 53, late Senate majority leader Harry Reid and his son Key Reid, 48, who was also in business with Hunter.

The Spring 2012 call was about Hunter, Key and Jeff's new venture into online gambling in Latin America, the whistleblower said, adding that Joe was active on the call discussing details of the business, and appeared to be involved as a 'silent partner'.

'He wasn't passive, he was talking about it. If I had to describe him, he was like a member of the Board of Directors,' the source said.  

In a statement to DailyMail.com, Cooper denied ever having a call about any of his companies with the president or late senator saying it was a 'complete fabrication'.

Key, Hunter and the White House did not respond to requests for comment.

When you consider what the Dems are offering…

If you don’t vote today and we lose America to the extremists on the left, you will share responsibility for the greatest loss the world has experienced since the fall of man.  Today is Election Day.  For all that is good, for all that you love, for all that matters, Vote! 

American Thinker   "The campaigning is done, something for which we can all be very grateful.  After tomorrow most of us will be able to watch television without the constant annoyance of political ads.  The election posters and billboards will soon no longer be an eyesore across our land.  But now comes the vitally important part, the time to vote, the time to take back America from the Democrats and elitists who:

• Cannot accept the concept of life in the womb;
• For the first time in the history of our world cannot tell a man from a woman or a boy from a girl;
• Are encouraging children to be whatever gender they choose through the use of chemicals and surgical mutilation;
• Won’t protect our borders from massive illegal invasion and the flood of fentanyl that is killing Americans by the thousands;
• Think that it is constitutional to force Americans to participate in medical experimentation in response to a man-made virus that as it turned out may not be nearly as deadly (when physicians are allowed to practice medicine)as the vaccinations they have forced on the world;
• Are destroying the economy of western nations through a fraudulent climate crisis and the destruction of the fossil fuel industry;
• Are destroying what has made America and western civilization strong and successful, the principles that are imbedded in our Judeo-Christian roots;
• Threaten to turn our civilized world back into some semblance of the dark ages except with nuclear weapons. ". . .

Bye bye Beto, Beto goodbye

A few days ago, a Democrat mentioned to me the obvious question:   Why did we nominate another liberal for governor?   My Democrat friend knows Texas better than Beto O'Rourke does.

Silvio Canto, Jr.   "Who knew that I'd remember Frankie Valli on election day?   Frankie and the guys did record "Bye bye baby" and it's time turn up the volume and say "Bye bye Beto, Beto goodbye." 

"Texas will call strike three and send Beto O'Rourke back to the minors.   

 

"Believe it or not, Texas Democrats will thank us quietly.  I'm not sure that they like him any more than we do.  Furthermore, they need to move away from people like Beto if they want to grow in Texas.

 

" 'Beto-ism" is everything wrong with today's Democrats.   This is from Ben Domenech:   

Democrats across the country should be grateful for what Republicans are about to do: rid them of a nagging disease known as Betoism.

 

Beto O'Rourke, the erstwhile congressman from El Paso, Texas, who has far more glossy national magazine profiles than winning campaigns, is about to go down to defeat in his attempt to unseat centrist conservative Governor Greg Abbott. Abbott is a popular governor and quite capable in his own right of popping wheelies over most Democrats. 

"A few days ago, a Democrat mentioned to me the obvious question:   Why did we nominate another liberal for governor?   My Democrat friend knows Texas better than Beto O'Rourke does.". . .

Getting rid of the likes of Beto may open the door for a future Democrat who understands that this is Texas not San Francisco.  I'd bet you that there are lots of Democrats who agree with that. . . .

Babylon Bee considers Beto: Shop Owners Begin Installing Spikes To Prevent Beto O'Rourke From Perching On Tables, Countertops

Beto Control Spikes® are available in a variety of sizes, are easy to install, require no maintenance and can easily solve the growing problem of troublesome candidates who have an innate desire to perch where people eat. 

 

Report: It’s Not Even Thanksgiving And Liz Cheney Is Already Putting Up Her January 6th Decorations

Babylon Bee

 "According to reports from residents living near Liz Cheney's Wyoming home, the lame-duck representative for the state's at-large congressional district is really feeling the spirit of the holidays. Although Thanksgiving is weeks away, Cheney is already putting up her January 6th decorations.

"Sources say her lighthearted obsession over the January holiday may have gone a little too far.

" 'She's adorned her lovely home with gaudy January 6th memorabilia," said one neighbor who refuses to decorate outside of a holiday's 24-hour window. "We tolerated the Trump dolls hanging by a noose by the chimney, and re-runs of the televised committee hearings projected onto her garage. It got weird when she started hanging confederate and nazi flags from the eves of her home; she may not have thought that part all the way through."

"After driving past her home, this reporter confirmed that Cheney really loves the January 6th holiday. On full display in her front window sat a commemorative lectern encircled by red candles.

"The tear gas fog machine topped off the spectacular display.

"At publishing time, the representative who lost renomination in Wyoming's Republican primary with only 29% of the vote was seen in a heated verbal argument with a cardboard cutout of Buffalo Guy."

Here’s How to Know What’s Really Happening on Election Night

The media’s response will offer some clues.

The American Spectator   . . ."We’d like to know more, and we’d like to know it a lot earlier than we do now. We’d suffer a lot less anxiety and probably get a lot more sleep.

"Well, there might be a way to go “behind the numbers” while watching election-night coverage, to get a bead on what’s really going down.

"We on the red team will know we’re having a rough night if [A small sampling of] these things happen:

• John King is working the big CNN election map with a drink in one hand.
• We’re shown film of Antifa members serving as poll monitors in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh.
• A conservative-heavy precinct with long lines is reported to have run out of ballots at 10 a.m.
• Reports surface of many ballot harvesters, a.k.a. “mules,” delivering votes to counting. . . facilities.. . .More.

"The above is not a rosy scenario. But if the following is happening, then the red team is having a nice night:": 

• Rachel Maddow is taking off her glasses and wiping her eyes a lot.
• PolitiFact is reported to be rehiring the 500 fact-checkers who were laid off after Biden won the presidency and Democrats won the Senate.
• CBS’s election panel breaks into inconsolable weeping at 11 p.m.
• Workmen are seen in the Capitol parking lot painting this on the curb in front of the Senate committee hearing room: “This Space Reserved for Secretary Mayorkas.” (Hat tip to Rep. Steve Scalise.)
• Pundits on CNN’s election-night panel are saying the phrase “a bipartisan spirit is needed in Congress now” a lot.
• Hunter Biden is seen boarding a flight to Brunei, which has no extradition treaty with the U.S.. . .. . .

• NBC is running a chyron across the bottom of the screen that says, “Complete coverage of ‘The Day Democracy Died’ at 11.”
• Not only are the pundits using the words “new majority” a lot, but late in the evening they’re saying “new majorities.”
• And, if we hear commentators from ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, MSNBC, and PBS expressing “serious concern about the integrity of this election,” we can probably sleep well.

Just in case: Abrams: Blame Voter Suppression And Misinformation If I Lose

Should work if her supporters have low intelligence.

 Victory Girls

"It’s called setting the narrative. In recent days, Stacey Abrams has been blaming voter suppression and the GOP for the low turnout and her highly likely loss to Brian Kemp in Georgia.

“While the polls are always going to tell the story you want to see, what we know is that the untold story is that this is a tight race, it is neck and neck, and we believe that we are on a path to victory if we can get all our voters turned out and if they can navigate the difficulties put in place by Brian Kemp and Brad Raffensperger,” Abrams said, referencing Georgia’s governor and secretary of state, both of whom were behind a state elections law last year that the Democrat has branded as racist and an effort to suppress minority voters.

"As we noted the other day, the voter turnout has definitively surpassed the numbers of the 2016 and 2020 campaigns. So Stacey’s condescending attitude towards Georgia voters would be seriously off-putting in my opinion. However, she’s taken that narrative and running with it. Then again, she’s the ultimate election denier and still believes/claims she won in 2018, so there’s that. 

"However, it isn’t only voter suppression (which she’s used before as an excuse) that will be the reason for her loss. It will be misinformation. ". . .

"Booker T. Washington, who had a vested interest in the reputation and respect of his people, was quoted on this very subject.  What an opinion she has of black men!! I know of someone else (who knew her kind very well) who had an opinion about her:"

“There is another class of coloured people who make a business of keeping the troubles, the wrongs, and the hardships of the Negro race before the public. Having learned that they are able to make a living out of their troubles, they have grown into the settled habit of advertising their wrongs — partly because they want sympathy and partly because it pays. Some of these people do not want the Negro to lose his grievances, because they do not want to lose their jobs.” ….. Booker T Washington

Stacey Abrams: My Poll Numbers Are Low Because Black Men Are Too Stupid To Support Me…

Is It Over for Abrams? Top Dem Snubs Stacey and Gives Glowing Endorsement of Brian Kemp  With [Kwanza] Hall’s endorsement, combined with a secure lead in the 11th-hour polls, it looks as though Kemp, who narrowly defeated Abrams in 2018, will make her a two-time gubernatorial loser, and perhaps the final nail in the coffin of her political career.

Joe Biden Goes Under the Bus Ahead of Schedule, and a New Contender Emerges

 RedState

This is usually a time for coalescing until the final whistle, not throwing barbs. And yet, Joe Biden is getting thrown under the bus ahead of schedule.

 . . ."I’ve long made fun of CNN’s Daniel Dale for his tepid fact-checks of Biden. Before this, they were few and far between and always loaded with qualifiers to try to explain away the president’s falsehoods. This is something completely different, though, being a total takedown in a mold we haven’t seen before. If you read the piece, it has no less than nine different, extensive corrections of Biden’s recent lies, covering gas prices to social security.

"Dale’s sudden turn isn’t the only one taking place in the press either. Over the last week, we’ve seen both The New York Times and The Washington Post publish articles essentially saying that Biden can’t be the 2024 nominee, something I’ve been suggesting for a long time. That all this is happening prior to election day is genuinely surprising.

. . ."After years of ignoring the problem, pretending it was just a false right-wing attack, the angst on the left towards Biden is now palpable. They want him gone sooner rather than later, and in the midst of that, a new contender has emerged.". . .

. . ."Democrats are deeply unhappy with their current bench. Very few want Kamala Harris to do anything but go away quietly. She’s incredibly unpopular and unlikable, and she’s got the stink of the Biden administration’s failures all over her. Meanwhile, Pete Buttigieg is overrated at best, having no ability to consolidate the minority factions of the Democrat base. The search for another option is real, and Shapiro is going to start getting a lot more press.

"Still, as I’ve written before, the Democrats have painted themselves into a corner. Getting rid of Biden is actually the easier part of the equation, though, he and his overly-ambitious wife are not going to go voluntarily. Yet, enough pressure could produce a competitive primary that causes Biden to take his ball home instead of facing humiliation.

"The big challenge is what happens after that. How can Democrats possibly not make Harris the nominee? Is their base really going to tolerate throwing the first black vice president off a cliff in favor of some five-foot-tall white dude from Pennsylvania? I just don’t see it, and if certain factions try to make that happen, it’s going to get really nasty. Never mind that Gavin Newsom is obviously going to run as well. We may see the most vicious, combative Democrat primary in history going into the 2024 election, and I’m here for it.". . .

The Occam’s Razor Election

Power Line   "Roll the tape back to early March of 2020, when the Democratic establishment closed ranks around Joe Biden after he had performed miserably in all of the early primaries. They managed to put Biden over the top in the South Carolina primary, and conveniently persuaded several competitors in the field to drop out and endorse him. The motive for this was transparent: it appeared that Bernie Sanders might run away with the Democratic nomination, and Bernie was a sure loser to Trump, COVID or no COVID.

"And good ol’ Joe, he was as familiar as an old shoe, and above all a moderate, who promised to be less divisive than the Bad Orange Man.

"But what we got was the Bernie Sanders Administration after all. Biden handed over policy wholly to the progressives who are hollowing out the Democratic Party. If Biden was merely the senile doddering fool so evident every time he opens his mouth it would be one thing, but he insists on rank demagoguery as often as possible.

"At this point what social scientists call “pattern recognition”—an updated version of Occam’s Razor—is kicking in. We’ve now had three Democratic presidents in a row— stretching back to Clinton in 1992, then Obama in 2008, and Biden in 2020—who all campaigned as moderates, but lurched sharply left once in office. In other words, Democratic presidential candidates lie to us, over and over again, and then voters issue a restraining order at the first opportunity. It’s as though voters need reminding every other decade how bad Democrats in power can be. “Swing voters,” wise up.

"Here’s how the Democrat-leaning Andrew Sullivan describes the scene in his latest Substack entry:. . .

‘This Is A Disgrace’: Experts, GOP Reps Call On The Biden Admin To Shut Down A Secret Chinese Police Station In NYC

 Daily Caller

"The U.S. government must immediately investigate and shutter the recently discovered overseas Chinese government police station in New York City for potential violation of U.S. laws, several experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation.

"In 2022, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) established secret police stations in over 100 cities around the world to conduct intimidation and harassment operations against overseas Chinese, human rights organization Safeguard Defenders revealed in a September report. While other countries have announced probes into the alleged police stations, the location within American Changle Association — a Chinatown community organization in New York City — continues to operate outside legal boundaries and should be shut down, experts told the DCNF.

“ 'This is a disgrace. How in God’s name could they openly have these communist police stations in our country?” Beau Dietl, a retired NYPD detective and current head of Beau Dietl & Associates private investigation firm, told the DCNF.". . .

After Snapping Photo, Teacher Says, ‘I Hope You Know, You’re Going Viral’

 TruthTent   "A group of teachers was having lunch at their local McDonald’s when a man caught their eye. They couldn’t help but eavesdrop, and when they realized what he was doing, one of them snapped a photo. Before leaving, she looked at him and said, “I hope you know, you’re going viral.” She was right.". . .

. . ."As Amanda posted the image to Facebook later that evening, she explained that the elderly lady “seemed a little lonely” as she came up to Eric Haralson, a stranger, and asked if she could sit with him. “Without hesitation, this guy said, ‘of course,’” Amanda revealed in the photo caption.

"Giving a “Shout out to this guy!” Amanda continued, “My friends and I watched him introduce himself and shake her hand. They talked and laughed together like they were friends. They didn’t know each other, and they couldn’t be more different. But, today, they shared a meal together and it touched our hearts.' ”

We need more times like this. TD

All poll watchers, we depend on you for an honest election

 

https://www.terrellaftermath.com/

Politico Suggests Election Fraud Could Cost Democrats the Election  "As the lull before the storm continues prior to election day, the takes continue to get dumber. Republicans have begun a new round of dooming based on what can only be called a late vibe shift (i.e. not backed by real data), but Democrats aren’t exactly exhibiting confidence either.

"Enter Politico, which decided it’d be a great idea to drop an article about election fraud on the eve of voters going to the polls. Guess which party they think is going to try to “steal” the election this time and then try not to break your ribs from laughing so hard.". . .

Issues & Insights: Biden Makes It Official: Grand Theft Election II is On  

  Step One: Dredge up the Meticulously Concocted “Big Lie” Narrative. 

 Step Two: Condition the Public for a Repeat of 2020 Tactics. 

Indiana Poll Worker Caught Pushing Voters to Support Democratic Candidates. Let us pray no Republicans - the party of Lincoln - are doing this

Dem poll worker ejected for pre-selecting 'straight Dem ticket' on voting machine, calling Rs 'racist'    

The first incident took place early Thursday evening as a group of education activists stood outside the Carmel polling place and advocated for pro-parent school board candidates. Sheller says the worker spoke with a pair of black voters who entered the polling station and urged them not to vote for the pro-parent candidates, arguing that the activists outside were "racist." 

Twitter Permanently Bans Kathy Griffin After She Impersonated Elon Musk: ‘She F’d Around And Found Out’   . . ."Griffin’s account had been temporarily restricted after she impersonated Musk by changing her profile photo to his photo and changing her user name to “Elon Musk,” even though her handle remained as “@kathygriffin.' ”