Wednesday, November 9, 2016
Donald Trump’s Big Bet on Less Educated Whites
NY Times
A potential victory for Donald J. Trump may hinge on one important (and large) group of Americans: whites who did not attend college.
Polls have shown a deep division between whites of different education levels and economic circumstances. A lot rides on how large these groups will be on Election Day: All pollsters have their own assessment of who will show up, and their predictions rely on these evaluations.
Here’s what the American voting-age population looked like in 2012.
Voting-age population, in millions
White, no college
White, some college
White, college degree
Black
Hispanic
Other
0
10
20
30
40
50
The largest bloc is whites who have no college degree, and the voting-age population of this group is as large as that of voting-age blacks, Hispanics and Asian-Americans combined. Mitt Romney won this group over Barack Obama by 26 percentage points, and Ronald Reagan by 31 points in 1984. But Bill Clinton won this bloc of voters both times he ran. In this year’s political polls, this group favors Mr. Trump by large margins over Hillary Clinton.
White, no
college
degree
White,
college
degree
Black
Hispanic
Clinton
Trump
57
43
37
82
75
29
6
20
Education questions from Fox News poll, Oct. 26; Black and Hispanic from Economist/You Gov Poll, Nov. 1
However, the voting electorate — the people who actually go to the polls — could look substantially different from the voting-age population. Here’s how the population of actual voters broke down in the last presidential election. Only about half of whites with no college degree voted, leaving about 29 million votes on the table in an election decided by five million votes.
Voting-age population, in millions
Voted
Did not vote
White, no college
White, some college
White, college degree
Black
Hispanic
Other
0
10
20
30
40
50
First thoughts on the election
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| Rich Terrell
Students riot over Trump victory . . . I am very familiar with the modus operandi of the hard leftsists in the East Bay where apparently the biggest riot took place, and last night’s riot was quite typical, but a bit understated if anything. I have seen the script play out many times. They marched down Telegraph Avenue from Berkeley to downtown Oakland, lit some garbage on fire in the street, smashed a few shop windows, and generally acted out like spoiled children.
"Given the eliminationist rhetoric that has been bandied about, further outbreaks of violence can be anticipated. Hillary Clinton should speak to this, as should President Obama."
Not Just a Rejection of Washington, a Rejection of Obama’s Washington "If Democrats are stunned by the anger at Washington, maybe it would have been mitigated if President Obama had fired some high-level, recognizable figure over Fast and Furious. Or the IRS scandal. Or the $2 billion spent building Healthcare.gov. Or the Veterans Administration letting veterans die waiting for care. Or the Office of Personnel Management hacking. Or the dishonest explanations about Bowe Berghdahl deal. "Maybe when the country witnessed horrible shootings, President Obama shouldn’t have rushed to the cameras to contend that those who opposed to his preferred gun-control laws bore some of the responsibility." . . . Read more |
Obama to make statement on Wednesday, meet with Trump on Thursday . . . "Earnest said that Obama will make a statement on Wednesday at the White House to discuss the results of the election and "what steps we can take as a country to come together after this hard-fought election season.' "
Trump campaign: 'Undercover' supporters helped deliver upset victory "The common thread among these voters, she said, was they wanted the country taken in a “new and different direction,” they had an unfavorable view of Clinton and they shared certain concerns – about everything from ObamaCare premium increases to the decline of manufacturing jobs to the threat of terrorism." . . .
"The depth of the divide between the predictions and the outcome in Tuesday’s election will be studied for years. But in terms of the on-the-ground strategy, Conway noted that the campaign committed itself to winning Pennsylvania after seeing their message fit with the beliefs of so many people in the state." . . .
Amid Trump’s victory, Republicans also were projected to hold onto their majority in the House and Senate, improving Trump’s chances of advancing his agenda in office.Japanese people have reacted with shock and disbelief at the outcome of the US presidential election
President-Elect Trump . . . "His liberal history and his evident lack of interest in these issues created doubts among many conservatives. We hope he now proves us doubters wrong. To do that he will have to show a self-control that was not uniformly present during his campaign but that characterized his most successful moments of it. Congressional Republicans, who retained a majority in both chambers, should do what they can to reinforce Trump’s better instincts." NR Editors
More later...
History's Unexpected Guest
Richard Fernandez
"What beat Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election wasn't Donald Trump's well-oiled machinery, American bigotry or the Republican Party. It was God, or if you prefer "the facts" which did it. Hillary's real enemy was Obama's real record of failure added to her own. Low wage growth, a disastrous foreign policy, a catastrophic Obamacare and numerous scandals to name a few weighed down on her like an anvil heavier than any insult that Donald Trump could lay upon her." . . .
Sheriff Joe Arpaio loses reelection bid
The Hill
"Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), a vocal supporter of GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump, is projected to lose his reelection race in Arizona to Democrat Paul Penzone.
"The Associated Press has Arpaio down 45 percent to Penzone’s 55 percent.
"Arpaio, who was seeking a seventh term, is known for his hard-line immigration stance.
"Arpaio is facing criminal contempt charges after allegedly violating a judge's order to halt immigration patrols accused of racial profiling. He pleaded not guilty just two weeks before the election.
"An October poll from the Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll found Arpaio trailing by nearly 15 points as news broke that he would face the charges."
Tuesday, November 8, 2016
When Hollywood Goes Liberal, It Goes Bankrupt
" But at what cost?
"It’s hard to say how much sway the Hollywood spin machine will have on Election Day. We can measure the views from that Joss Whedon-sponsored celebrity PSA calling Trump a “racist, abusive coward.” But tracking how many hearts and minds it changed? Impossible.
"The same cannot be said of the fiscal fallout of Hollywood turning itself into Hillary’s unofficial super PAC during this endless election season. Consumers who either support Trump or simply aren’t sold on Clinton for very valid reasons may hold a grudge against the stars who shilled for Hillary." . . .
Hollywood Freaks Out: ‘About to Throw Up’ "Around 10 p.m., Hollywood stars began to panic. Hillary Clinton wasn’t as far ahead as they had expected her to be. In fact, the race was far from a landslide. Reflecting the anxiety of the Tinsel Town set, actress Mia Farrow re-tweeted a NYT poll showing that, as of 9:40 pm, Trump had a 55-percent chance of winning the election. As a comment on the tweet, she simply posted: “Xanax.' ”
Monday, November 7, 2016
The Real Sickness At The Heart Of American Culture
"Americans across the spectrum are being encouraged to separate themselves off from the larger culture and nurse grievances that barely would have been given a thought a few decades ago."John Hawkins at Townhall "People don't like to talk about America's culture for the same reason that a man who just had a heart attack doesn't want to discuss the double bacon cheeseburger he's eating. He knows what he's doing is killing him, but it's easier not to deal with it. We’re in the same boat.
* We treat success as an accident or a cheat while defending people who make bad decisions, who won't educate themselves or who won't work.
* We've allowed pornography to become so accessible that it's practically universally viewed, even among teenagers.
* We love victims so much that people actually fake hate crimes to claim victim status.
* We celebrate losers and deviants by giving them their own reality shows. Meanwhile, Hollywood regularly portrays businessmen, Christians and soldiers as the worst people on earth.
* More children have died because of Roe v. Wade than were killed during the Holocaust" . . .
Commentaries on the election
"Vote as if your right to live, to worship, to speak, and to ever be heard again, that is your right to be a free and independent American citizen, depends on this election, because it does." Jeffrey T. BrownAt Risk Is Nothing Less Than the Right Ever to Resist Again "We have witnessed a series of cultural storms over the last several decades, many of which have altered our landscape. Most have been artificial storms, created and powered by an ideology that seeks complete control over this nation and its future, set in motion to create the chaos in which to implant "progress." These storms have eradicated our family structures, our nation's history, our ethical standards, our moral standards, our legal frameworks, our borders, our Constitution, and our discourse.
"However, they have been mere precursors to the tsunami that Mrs. Clinton represents. She is the culmination of socialist, fascist Progressivism. She has come to complete the transformation, unless we stop her. We will probably not get another chance." . . .
Operation Demoralize Is in Full Swing . . . "I think Hillary is the favorite going into Election Day because the electoral map favors Democrats. But don’t think that the premature celebrations are honest or legitimate – they are just narratives intended to demoralize Trump voters."Donna Brazile Sent Hillary Campaign MORE Townhall Questions No outrage, none at all.
George Stephanopoulos’s Wife: We’re Leaving America if Trump Wins
America's next boss? Hillary makes her final pitch to more than 33,000 in Pennsylvania along with Bill, Chelsea, the Obamas and Bruce Springsteen who urge the country to 'reject fear and choose hope' "‘This journey we’ve been on was never about the color of a president but the content of his or her character,’ Obama said."
NRO: "Why I Disagree with Most National Polls: My 2016 Final Predictions". . . "Most national polls suggest that the race is over, with Clinton headed to a firm win. I disagree. I think it is likelier that she will win, but she will do so very narrowly in both the Electoral College and in the popular vote. It won’t take much improvement over my final projections for Trump to pull this out narrowly, and I think it is likelier that he wins than that Clinton wins by 3 or more."
Jonah Goldberg: Predictions and the Test of Time
. . . "Hillary Clinton deserves to lose, and I don’t know a serious political observer who doesn’t think she’d be down double digits in the polls if she were running against a standard Republican."
Surviving a Hillary-pocalypse
Hillary-pocalypse? . . . "Once [illegal immigrants] can legally vote and are happily resettled in enough narrowly held Republican House and Senate districts to flip the Congress to Democrat control, Hillary can do pretty much whatever she wants. A few items on the list might be raising taxes on the middle class, replacing Obamacare with a single-payer government-run health care system, placing liberal justices on the Supreme Court, opening the borders to immigrants from wherever she likes, and ratifying the Trans-Pacific Partnership."
. . .
. . .
"If you want to do something about this, stop watching network broadcasts and stop reading the newspapers. These are businesses who have to make money in order to survive, and the amount of money they make is partly based on the number of people who watch their programs and read their papers and magazines.
"If you want to carry this a step farther, find a list of advertisers who are supporting the news programs and newspapers. Once you know who they are, stop buying their products. If they are publicly traded companies, sell their stock and refuse to buy it. No need to protest or yell and scream on the internet. Stay calm, stay cool, stop watching, stop buying, cancel your newspaper or magazine subscription, and help yourself at the same time."
"Fox News polls shows a Trump surge that’s tied Hillary in the presidential race. It’s not been a lofty campaign. Just think, someday future historians will tell their classes that Western Civilization was either saved by the testimony of groped beauty pageant winners or photos of Anthony Weiner’s penis.
"Hillary Clinton couldn’t contain her joy over her hometown Chicago Cubs finally winning the World Series in Game Seven. Her interest in the game itself has always been genuine and active. When Hillary played church softball in the sixth grade, she led the league in crooked real estate deals." Wait a minute! When she became a NY senator she was given a Yankees cap and, while putting it on, said "I've always been a Yankee fan"! Comedian Argus Hamilton.
Hey if what Hillary says isn't the solid truth, where else can we turn for honesty?
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| americanthinker.com |
Ben Carson: Donald Trump’s New Deal for Black America Begins With a Good Education
"So today, rich Democrats get a $7,500 tax break when they buy a Tesla, a $100,000 luxury electric car. But a poor black child can’t get a $7,500 credit to go to a better school."
Dr. Ben Carson "Donald Trump often says things that many people believe to be true but dare not say.
"He did it again recently by saying that nobody needs to tell African Americans in this country that the old New Deal from the Democratic Party isn’t working for them. Trump made the simple but accurate observation that in election after election, Democratic Party leaders take African-American voters for granted, and year after year, the condition of black America gets worse.
"Trump is right: African Americans need a new deal from the next president. In a speech last month in Charlotte, N.C., Trump proposed just that, with clear policies for creating jobs, protecting our communities, making health care more affordable and renewing our urban areas.
"The foundation of Trump’s new deal for black America is education.
"Without a good education, it is very difficult to get a good job, support a family and have the sense of dignity that every American deserves." . .
. . .
"So today, as America prepares to vote, I want to pose a few questions to every African-American parent and grandparent in the country about Trump’s new deal for black America, especially as it relates to education.
"I hope you will talk them over with your family and your neighbors:" . . .
. . .
"So today, as America prepares to vote, I want to pose a few questions to every African-American parent and grandparent in the country about Trump’s new deal for black America, especially as it relates to education.
"I hope you will talk them over with your family and your neighbors:" . . .
Sunday, November 6, 2016
Has every national figure been to Epstein's pedophilia island?
“Because of Weinergate and the sexting scandal, the NYPD started investigating it. Through a subpoena, through a warrant, they searched his laptop, and sure enough, found those 650,000 emails. They found way more stuff than just more information pertaining to the inappropriate sexting the guy was doing,” Prince claimed.“They found State Department emails. They found a lot of other really damning criminal information, including money laundering, including the fact that Hillary went to this sex island with convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein. Bill Clinton went there more than 20 times. Hillary Clinton went there at least six times.”But uh-oh:
. . . Vice News claims that Trump’s one-time visit with Epstein has effectively taken the attack off the table for the campaign.
"Breitbart News argues that if there were actual evidence that Trump had visited the island, it would be all over the press."
Legal Insurrection: Is Orgy Island the new Blue Dress?
Bill Clinton’s connection to Jeffrey Epstein could be even messier (for Hillary) "Jeffrey Epstein is a name you may be familiar with, or you may not, but if media rumors are true, expect to hear about him much more in the coming weeks.
"Epstein is a good pal of President Bill Clinton’s. Epstein is also a registered sex offender who got himself into trouble soliciting and procuring the services of underaged girls." . . .
"Bill Clinton’s travels with Epstein were confirmed long ago."
. . . "Hillary has been willing to cover up for Bill’s adulterous relationships – and even rape charges – in order to achieve and maintain power. So, covering up for a pedophile isn’t any big deal to her." . . . By Clarice Feldman in her column, Drums Along the Potomac
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