Ben Shapiro
"The Republican race further descends into chaos, more and more commentators foresee the possibility of a brokered convention. The Republican primary process is designed for an establishment candidate – it breaks down when there is no true establishment candidate with the capacity to reach out to the base. The Republicans send 2,472 delegates to the convention. To win the nomination outright, the Republican candidate must have won 1,236 delegates. Only candidates who have won a majority of support in eight different states are eligible for the nomination. That last rule – the eight-state rule, Rule 40 – was designed in order to prevent Ron Paul from making a mess of the 2012 convention.
"This means that there is a high likelihood that there will only be three candidates with that many states. Remember, in 2012, Rick Santorum only won 11 states, while Newt Gingrich only won 2; Mitt Romney carried the rest, and won 1,462 delegates. In 2008, Mitt Romney won 11 states, and Mike Huckabee won 8; John McCain won 1,378 delegates. It’s difficult to imagine a scenario in which Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and John Kasich win 8 states, for example." . . . Full article here
"This means that there is a high likelihood that there will only be three candidates with that many states. Remember, in 2012, Rick Santorum only won 11 states, while Newt Gingrich only won 2; Mitt Romney carried the rest, and won 1,462 delegates. In 2008, Mitt Romney won 11 states, and Mike Huckabee won 8; John McCain won 1,378 delegates. It’s difficult to imagine a scenario in which Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and John Kasich win 8 states, for example." . . . Full article here
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